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With lower than two months to go till the primary votes within the Republican presidential nomination race, former President Donald Trump stays the dominant front-runner.
However a brand new public opinion survey in New Hampshire, the state that holds the primary main and second total contest within the GOP’s nominating calendar, is the most recent to point a surge by former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, who served as ambassador to the United Nations within the Trump administration.
Trump enjoys the backing of 42% of possible Republican presidential main voters in a ballot from the College of New Hampshire (UNH) Survey Middle and CNN that was launched Thursday, comparatively unchanged from the earlier UNH survey in September.
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Former ambassador and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, a 2024 Republican presidential candidate, recordsdata to position her identify on New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation GOP presidential main poll, on the Statehouse in Harmony, Oct. 13, 2023. (Fox Information / Paul Steinhauser)
Haley stands at 20% assist, up eight factors from the September ballot.
“Whereas Trump continues to steer because the GOP discipline narrows, Nikki Haley appears to be consolidating her place as the choice to Trump amongst New Hampshire Republicans,” UNH Survey Middle Director Andrew Smith informed Fox Information. “Importantly, Haley doesn’t have the unfavourable drag on her marketing campaign in contrast with different Republican candidates.”
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who’s concentrating most of his time and sources in New Hampshire as he runs a second time for the White Home, captures 14% assist, with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 9%, and biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy at 8%. North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum registers at 2%, with former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson at zero.
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As he makes his third straight White Home run, Trump noticed his lead within the GOP nomination race increase over the spring and summer season as he made historical past as the primary former or present president in American historical past to be indicted for against the law. Trump’s 4 indictments — together with in federal court docket in Washington D.C. and in Fulton County court docket in Georgia on expenses he tried to overturn his 2020 presidential election loss — have solely fueled his assist amongst Republican voters.
Former President Donald Trump leaves the stage at a marketing campaign rally, Nov. 11, 2023, in Claremont, N.H. (AP Picture / Reba Saldanha)
Trump enjoys a large lead in nationwide polling — together with 62% assist in a Fox Information survey launched on Wednesday. However his margins — whereas extraordinarily formidable — are smaller within the essential early voting states.
Haley, because of effectively regarded performances within the first three GOP presidential main debates this summer season and autumn, has seen her assist amongst main voters rise. Haley has tied DeSantis for second place in a number of the newest polls in Iowa — whose caucuses kick off the Republican nominating calendar on Jan. 15.
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The UNH/CNN ballot is the most recent to point Haley in second place in New Hampshire, which is able to maintain its presidential main Jan. 23. She’s additionally moved forward of DeSantis for second place in her house state, which votes Feb. 24 and holds the primary southern contest.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, a 2024 Republican White Home candidate, recordsdata to position his identify on New Hampshire’s GOP presidential main poll, on the Statehouse in Harmony, N.H., Oct. 12, 2023 (Fox Information / Paul Steinhauser)
The brand new survey signifies that Trump enjoys the backing of 55% of registered Republicans in New Hampshire. Help amongst independents who say they will solid a poll within the GOP main is evenly break up amongst Trump, Haley and Christie.
Independents, identified in New Hampshire as undeclared voters, make up barely greater than 40% of the state’s voters.
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The ballot additionally signifies that greater than half of these questioned mentioned they’ve made up their minds within the main race, with self-described Trump voters extra possible than these backing the previous president’s rivals to say their selection for the GOP nomination is particular.
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, a 2024 Republican presidential candidate, headlines a city corridor on August 9, 2023 in Salem, New Hampshire (Fox Information – Paul Steinhauser)
The survey was carried out Nov. 10-14, fully after the third Republican debate, which was held Nov. 8 in Miami.
“Few possible Republican main voters paid shut consideration to the November Republican debate and solely about half are concerned with additional debates going down,” the discharge from the UNH Survey Middle spotlighted.
And UNH additionally famous that in terms of the problems, the survey signifies that “overseas coverage has develop into way more vital since September, whereas assist for a 15-week abortion ban has declined.”
Get the most recent updates from the 2024 marketing campaign path, unique interviews and extra at our Fox Information Digital election hub.
Paul Steinhauser is a politics reporter based mostly in New Hampshire.
Haley retains rising in 2024 GOP presidential main state; Trump is front-runner
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