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Vice President Kamala Harris and the Democrats had a profitable conference in Chicago this week. At each flip, they tried to counter the assaults of their opponents. The Harris-Walz staff argued time and again, and I assumed they did it notably successfully within the vice chairman’s speech on Thursday night time, that they have been for nationwide unity, in opposition to ideology, for the center class, for girls, and above all, for the US.
Even an off-the-cuff observer couldn’t assist however discover that there was little in Vice President Harris’s speech that prompt an agenda for the US, and even coverage prescriptions. The strategists behind the Harris-Walz ticket perceive that on points they may simply lose to former President Donald Trump. However on problems with life story, aspiration and symbolism, it’s much more doubtless that the Democrats will flip what was as soon as a possible defeat with Joe Biden on the high of the ticket into a possible victory with Kamala Harris.
The Democratic conference this week has been characterised as one among nice vibes and the politics of pleasure, and Harris herself was capable of seize the event Thursday night time. She made voters, of all events and ideologies, really feel like they of she and for them, versus the growing older, out-of-touch Donald Trump who, she mentioned, particularly and primarily supported billionaires.
KAMALA HARRIS FORMALLY ACCEPTS DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION AT DNC
Each the vice chairman and her surrogates have been robust. They wished to strike a patriotic tone and reassure the citizens in uncompromising phrases that they might stand with our allies in Europe and Ukraine (and possibly not in Israel). Harris and her supporters made it abundantly clear that whereas they stood for and with the center class, their main objective was to intensify and widen the gender divide by making this conference largely for and about girls.
It appears clear that the Harris-Walz ticket will get a modest increase from the very well-produced and executed Democratic conference in Chicago. The vice chairman will doubtless enter the autumn marketing campaign with a small however clear lead over former President Trump, each nationally and sure in a majority of swing states.
Elections are finally a referendum on the sitting president. We’ll see, within the September 10 debate between the vice chairman and the previous president, whether or not Harris can escape stigma over the perceived failures of the now languishing incumbent.
However make no mistake, it will be incorrect to consider that the general path of this race was basically altered or modified by the 4 days of spectacle that the Democrats have been capable of produce. Whereas many individuals have been uplifted by the occasion, few noticed or heard something that might basically differentiate the Democratic ticket on the problems that almost all concern American voters: inflation, the price of residing, immigration and crime. There was not sufficient substance on provide to create a major distinction with former President Trump.
TRUMP DISMISSES HARRIS AS PART OF TRUTH SOCIAL EXCITEMENT OVER WHAT SHE ‘DIDN’T MENTION’ IN DNC SPEECH
The conference started with Joe Biden, the incumbent president, at 40 p.c or decrease. Regardless of the profitable conference, Biden’s approval ranking virtually actually hasn’t modified this week. I say that as a result of elections are finally a referendum on the incumbent president. We’ll see, within the Sept. 10 debate between the vice chairman and the previous president, whether or not Harris can escape stigma over the perceived failures of the now-fading incumbent.
Regardless of what the nationwide media is prone to say now, and after the inevitable post-convention increase in political assist the Democratic ticket will obtain, this election is prone to stay very shut. As shut because the earlier presidential elections in 2016 and 2020.
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We received’t actually have a transparent image of the path of the 2024 presidential marketing campaign till the polls are available after the Harris-Trump debate on September 10. However even then, understand that Trump has traditionally performed a lot better in elections than he has in pre-election polls. What many within the liberal media would possibly describe because the inevitability of Harris-Walz may, and extra doubtless will, be a replay of the final two nationwide elections. In different phrases, a Democratic victory just isn’t assured after their conference. As an alternative, this election shall be extremely shut.
The large query now dealing with Donald Trump and his social gathering is whether or not they can adapt the marketing campaign to be as efficient in criticizing Vice President Harris as they have been in opposition to the present president.
Our current presidential election was finally determined by a shift of lower than 100,000 votes. The identical will doubtless occur in 2024, regardless of the nationwide media’s obvious embrace of the Harris-Walz ticket and the doubtless election to the presidency, of their eyes, of the present vice chairman.
Each events had profitable conventions this summer time. This week in Chicago, Harris was capable of tackle on the whole phrases most, if not all, of her negatives: being too left, polarizing, having no observe report, being delicate on immigration and crime. It’s clear she’ll proceed to do that for the remainder of the marketing campaign.
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The large query now dealing with Donald Trump and his fellow Republicans is whether or not they can efficiently recalibrate the marketing campaign to be as efficient of their criticism of Vice President Harris as they have been of the present president. That’s the large unanswered query as we head into the normal Labor Day presidential marketing campaign kickoff.
Briefly: the politics of pleasure just isn’t essentially the politics of victory.
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Harris and Walz loved a profitable convention, however it failed to realize a vital objective
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