Harris-Trump showdown: New polls present who has the higher hand within the battle for the Blue Wall

Norman Ray

World Courant

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Vice President Kamala Harris holds a lead over former President Trump in three essential states that can decide the 2024 election, in response to three new polls launched on Wednesday.

In line with Quinnipiac College polls, the vice chairman and Democratic candidate holds a 51%-45% lead over the previous president and Republican standard-bearer amongst seemingly Pennsylvania voters, whereas Inexperienced Celebration candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Celebration candidate Chase Oliver every maintain 1%.

In Michigan, Harris has a 50%-45% lead over Trump, with Stein at 2% and all different third-party candidates at lower than 1% of help.

The ballot reveals the race is tighter in Wisconsin, with Harris at 48% and Trump at 47%, Stein at 1% and everybody else who ran getting lower than 1% of the vote.

NEW POLLS SHOW WHETHER TRUMP OR HARRIS HAS THE EDGE IN KEY BATTLEFIELD

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump shake fingers earlier than their debate in Philadelphia on September 10, 2024. (Getty Photographs)

Trump’s one-point lead in Wisconsin is nicely inside the survey’s sampling error.

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The three polls have been carried out from September 12 to 16, completely after the primary and presumably solely Harris-Trump debate. The polls have been additionally carried out within the discipline, largely earlier than and considerably after Sunday’s obvious second assassination try in opposition to the previous president.

Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, together with Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada, had razor-thin margins that determined the end result of the 2020 election between Trump and President Biden.

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These seven essential states will seemingly decide whether or not Harris or Trump wins the 2024 presidential election.

Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are additionally the three Rust Belt states which might be a part of the Democrats’ so-called “Blue Wall.”

HARRIS-TRUMP SHOWDOWN SHAKEN AGAIN WITH 50 DAYS TO GO UNTIL ELECTION

The occasion gained all three states for 25 years till Trump narrowly gained them within the 2016 election to seize the White Home.

Former President Trump speaks throughout a rally on the 1st Summit Enviornment on the Cambria County Battle Memorial in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, August 30, 2024. (AP picture/Rebecca Droke)

4 years later, in 2020, Biden gained all three states by a razor-thin margin, placing them again within the Democratic camp and defeating Trump.

Each the Democratic and Republican presidential candidates, and their operating mates, have visited the three states repeatedly this summer season.

Harris’ lead in Pennsylvania is six factors, in comparison with a three-point lead in Quinnipiac’s August ballot.

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In a hypothetical two-party race, Harris would outpoll Trump in Pennsylvania 51%-46%, up from 50%-47% in August.

In Michigan, the vice chairman holds a 51%-46% lead over the previous president, in a hypothetical two-way race.

And in Wisconsin, Harris is at 49% and Trump is at 48% in a hypothetical two-party showdown.

The Quinnipiac Ballot was one in all two folks launched in Wisconsin on Wednesday.

Vice President Kamala Harris and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz attend a marketing campaign rally in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, August 20, 2024. (Reuters/Kevin Lamarque)

Harris stands at 48% help amongst seemingly voters in Wisconsin, with Trump at 45% in an AARP ballot carried out Sept. 11-14. The vice chairman’s three-point margin over the previous president is inside the ballot’s total sampling error of plus or minus 4 factors.

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Along with the battle for the White Home, essential Senate elections are additionally happening in all three states, which can seemingly decide whether or not the Republicans regain the bulk within the Senate.

The Quinnipiac ballot reveals Democratic Senator Bob Casey main Republican challenger Dave McCormick in Pennsylvania by 52%-43%.

In line with the survey, Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin has a 51%-47% lead over his Republican challenger Eric Hovde.

And in Michigan, within the race to succeed retiring Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabanow, fellow Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin holds a 51%-46% lead over former Rep. Mike Rogers, the GOP candidate.

Get the newest 2024 marketing campaign updates, unique interviews and extra in our Fox Information Digital Election Middle.

Harris-Trump showdown: New polls present who has the higher hand within the battle for the Blue Wall

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