What does Fitch’s downgrade of Egypt’s credit standing and prospects imply?

Michael Brown

International Courant

For the second time in six months Fitch Rankings on Friday moved to downgrade Egypt’s sovereign score for long-term overseas forex debt issuance to “B-” from “B” with a secure outlook.

That is coming in two weeks after Normal & Poor’s downgraded Egypt’s long-term debt score from B to B- with a secure outlook, and 4 weeks after Moody’s downgraded Egypt’s sovereign debt score to Caa1 from B3.

Fitch in Could downgraded Egypt’s credit standing for long-term overseas forex debt issuance from “B+” to “B”.

A decrease credit standing means larger prices and larger difficulties in accessing worldwide markets when issuing authorities bonds.

In a report on its web site, Fitch defined that the downgrade of Egypt’s credit standing displays rising dangers to Egypt’s exterior financing, macroeconomic stability and its already excessive sovereign debt trajectory.

Fitch added that sluggish progress on reforms, together with delays within the transition to a extra versatile change charge regime and evaluations of the IMF program, have broken the credibility of change charge coverage and exacerbated exterior financing challenges at a time of accelerating repayments of exterior authorities money owed.

“Downward strain on the forex has elevated and the trail to coverage adjustment has develop into extra complicated from our perspective,” the report continued.

Nevertheless, the company believes its secure outlook displays Fitch’s core expectations that reforms – together with privatization, slowing mega-project implementation and change charge changes – will speed up after the December presidential elections, doubtless paving the way in which for a brand new and potential bigger IMF. program and extra help from the Gulf Cooperation Council international locations.

What does Fitch’s downgrade of Egypt’s credit standing and prospects imply?

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