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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONY
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
ABBOTT ELEMENTARY
A B C
Weekly Commentary (Updated: June 18, 2023): The lead comedy actress has 76 talents (compared to 91 in 2022) in the discussion. This means only five nominees will be named, dramatically changing the race.
Only Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”) seems assured a spot, with Rachel Brosnahan (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) a comfortable second-place holder for the final season of her beloved series.
Natasha Lyonne (“Poker Face”) is a respected actor and with Peacock conducting a very loud phase one for the streaming series, she should make the list accordingly.
That leaves Jenna Ortega (“Wednesday”), Christina Applegate (“Dead to Me”), Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”), Bridget Everett (“Somebody Somewhere”) and Elle Fanning (“The Great”) for the final two spots. There are some dark horse selections such as Robin Thede (“A Black Lady Sketch Show”) and Linda Cardellini (“Dead to Me”) but (for the moment) they don’t seem likely candidates to pop up.
It’s too close to call.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Emmy predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 pm PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 pm ET / 5 pm PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
Elle Fanning — “The Great” (Hulu) Selena Gomez — “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu) Bridget Everett — “Somebody Somewhere” (HBO) Linda Cardellini — “Dead to Me” (Netflix) Robin Thede — “A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
Kerry Washington — “Unprisoned” (Hulu) Cecily Strong — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+) Heléne Yorke — “The Other Two” (HBO) Lily Collins — “Emily in Paris” (Netflix) Christina Vidal — “Primo” (Prime Video) Sarah Goldberg — “Sisters” (AMC) Ziwe — “Ziwe” (Showtime) Maya Rudolph — “Loot” (Apple TV+) Ana Gasteyer — “American Auto” (NBC) Amy Schumer — “Inside Amy Schumer” (Paramount+)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
Quinta Brunson — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC) Sara Gilbert — “The Conners” (ABC) Wendi McLendon-Covey — “The Goldbergs” (ABC) Gina Rodriguez — “Not Dead Yet” (ABC) Sarah Goldberg — “Sisters” ( AMC) Susan Stanley — “Sisters” (AMC) Gabrielle Dennis — “The Big Door Prize” (Apple TV+) Maya Rudolph — “Loot” (Apple TV+) Charlotte Nicdao — “Mythic Quest” (Apple TV+) Rose Byrne — “Physical ” (Apple TV+) Cecily Strong — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+) Patricia Williams — “The Ms. Pat Show” (BET+) Tisha Campbell — “Act Your Age” (BounceTV) Kym Whitley — “Act Your Age” (BounceTV) Fọláḱẹ Olówófôyekù — “Bob Hearts Abishola” (CBS) Rose McIver — “Ghosts” (CBS) Beth Behrs — “The Neighborhood” (CBS) Marcia Gay Harden — “So Help Me Todd” (CBS) Awkwafina — “Awkwafina is Nora From Queens” (Comedy Central) Tatiana Maslany — “She-Hulk: Attorney at Law” (Disney+) Mayim Bialik — “Call Me Kat” (Fox) Jaime Pressly — “Welcome to Flatch” (Fox) Sofia Black-D’Elia — “Single Drunk Female” (Freeform) Martha Plimpton — “Sprung” (Freevee) Devery Jacobs — “Reservation Dogs” (FX) Natasia Demetriou — “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX) Robin Thede — “A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO) Cassandra Ciangherotti — “Los Espookys” (HBO) Ana Fabrega — “Los Espookys” ( HBO) Heléne Yorke — “The Other Two” (HBO) Daisy May Cooper — “Rain Dogs” (HBO) Alicia Pilgrim — “Random Acts of Flyness” (HBO) KaMillion — “Rap Shit” (HBO) Aida Osman — “Rap Sell” (HBO) Bridget Everett — “Somebody Somewhere” (HBO) Chandra Russell — “South Side” (HBO) Máiréad Tyers — “Extraordinary” (Hulu) Elle Fanning — “The Great” (Hulu) Hilary Duff — “How I Met Your Father” (Hulu) Selena Gomez — “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu) Judy Greer — “Reboot” (Hulu) Mae Whitman — “Up Here” (Hulu) Ana Gasteyer — “American Auto” (NBC) Mayan Lopez — “Lopez vs. Lopez” (NBC) Melissa Rauch — “Night Court” (NBC) Stacey Leilua — “Young Rock” (NBC) Christina Applegate — “Dead to Me” (Netflix) Linda Cardellini — “Dead to Me” (Netflix) Lily Collins — “Emily in Paris” (Netflix) Monica Barbaro — “Fubar” (Netflix) Maitreyi Ramakrishnan — “Never Have I Ever” (Netflix) Debra Jo Rupp — “That ’90s Show” (Netflix) Tisha Campbell — “Uncoupled” (Netflix ) Kim Fields — “The Upshaws” (Netflix) Jenna Ortega — “Wednesday” (Netflix) Wendy Raquel Robinson — “The Game” (Paramount+) Marisa Davila — “Grease: Rise of the Pink Ladies” (Paramount+) Tricia Fukuhara — “ Grease: Rise of the Pink Ladies” (Paramount+) Ari Notartomaso — “Grease: Rise of the Pink Ladies” (Paramount+) Cheyenne Isabel Wells — “Grease: Rise of the Pink Ladies” (Paramount+) Amy Schumer — “Inside Amy Schumer” (Paramount+) Natasha Lyonne — “Poker Face” (Peacock) Cristin Milioti — “The Resort” (Peacock) Jana Schieding — “Rutherford Falls” (Peacock) Meagan Good — “Harlem” (Prime Video) Chanté Adams — “A League of Their Own” (Prime Video) Abbi Jacobsen — “A League of Their Own” (Prime Video) Melia Kreiling — “Mammals” (Prime Video) Rachel Brosnahan — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video) Rhianne Barreto — “The Outlaws” (Prime Video) Christina Vidal — “Primo” (Prime Video) Zoe Lister-Jones — “Slip” (The Roku Channel) Ziwe — “Ziwe” (Showtime) Jasmine Cephas Jones — “Blindspotting” (Starz) Sara Tomko — “Resident Alien” (Syfy)
** This official list and category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: Jean Smart — “Hacks” (HBO) — Season 2
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.
