Egypt and the IMF settlement on a brand new mortgage may very well be accompanied by a devaluation of the Egyptian pound

Michael Brown

International Courant

Capital Economics, an unbiased financial analysis firm based mostly in Britain, famous that Egypt’s cope with the Worldwide Financial Fund (IMF) for the subsequent mortgage is looming – and with it a devaluation of the Egyptian pound.

In line with the report, inflation in Egypt is slowing however will stay above the central financial institution’s goal degree till mid-2025, based on the Arab Information Company.

Capital Economics additionally famous that talks between Egyptian officers, the US Treasury Division and the IMF seem “optimistic.”

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US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen pledged to assist Egypt’s financial system and reforms after assembly with senior Egyptian monetary officers in Washington, DC on Tuesday – amid talks to extend the IMF’s $3 billion mortgage to Cairo .

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated earlier in November that the fund was “critically contemplating” increasing Egypt’s multibillion-dollar mortgage program because the nation grapples with the financial affect of Israel’s struggle in Gaza.

Egypt already suffers from excessive overseas debt and has been hit onerous by the struggle within the Gaza Strip, which threatens to scale back vacationer bookings and negatively affect pure gasoline imports.

Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly stated in December that talks had been held with the Worldwide Financial Fund (IMF) haven’t stopped, stressing that the financial reform program is only nationwide.

He continued at a press convention: “Disagreement and controversy could come up over the techniques used. Communication is ongoing and we’re working with the Fund to develop a timetable that shall be introduced shortly.”

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The Worldwide Financial Fund In October, the nation lowered its development forecast for the Egyptian financial system throughout the present 2023-2024 price range 12 months to three.6 p.c, in comparison with earlier estimates of 4.1 p.c.

The IMF introduced this on the time within the Moroccan capital Marrakesh 2024 World Financial Outlook Report signifies an total slowdown in world financial development from 3.5 p.c in 2022 to a few p.c in 2023 and a couple of.9 p.c in 2024.

In line with the report, world development expectations are nonetheless under the historic common of three.8 p.c over the interval 2000-2019.

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The IMF’s expectations for 2024 have fallen by 0.1 share factors in comparison with the July 2023 World Financial Outlook report.

Egypt and the IMF settlement on a brand new mortgage may very well be accompanied by a devaluation of the Egyptian pound

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