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Vice President Kamala Harris is main former President Donald Trump by eight share factors amongst possible voters in Virginia, a state the Trump marketing campaign has been trying to flip purple after shedding in 2016 and 2020.
The most recent Washington Publish-Schar College ballot, launched Tuesday, earlier than the 2 candidates debated in Philadelphia, confirmed Harris main Trump by 50% to 42% within the Previous Dominion State with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 share factors.
The ballot underscores a major turnaround to the highest of the Democratic ticket in Virginia since Harris dramatically changed President Biden as her occasion’s nominee.
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A brand new ballot forward of Tuesday’s ABC Information Presidential Debate exhibits Vice President Kamala Harris main former President Donald Trump by eight share factors amongst possible voters in Virginia. (Brandon Bell/Getty Pictures.)
A Fox Information ballot in June had Biden and Trump in a lifeless warmth. Biden swept Virginia in 2020 by greater than 10 factors. Hillary Clinton beat Trump by greater than 5 factors there in 2016 – though Trump went on to win the presidency.
No Republican presidential candidate has gained Virginia since former President George W. Bush’s re-election in 2004.
The GOP has been making progress within the state, with the 2021 election of Gov. Glenn Youngkin as the primary Republican to be elected to the governorship since 2009 and additional success within the 2022 midterms and the state’s 2023 off-year elections.
Mark Rozell, dean of the Schar College of Coverage and Authorities at George Mason College, mentioned the ballot additionally exhibits that Trump doesn’t have a major lead on any concern measured on this survey.
“Most notable not solely is the dimensions of Harris’s lead, however that Trump doesn’t have any concern benefit, in contrast to nationwide polls by which he enjoys some benefit on the financial system, immigration and preventing crime,” Rozell advised The Washington Publish.
“Trump’s path to the presidency subsequently doesn’t run by Virginia.”
FOX NEWS POLL: NEW MATCHUP, SAME RESULT — TRUMP BESTS HARRIS BY ONE POINT
The ballot is a fine addition for Vice President Kamala Harris forward of Tuesday’s ABC Information Presidential Debate, the primary presidential debate between the 2 nominees. ABC Information signage pictured being put in within the media file middle contained in the Pennsylvania Conference Heart. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Pictures)
Fox Information Digital reached out to the Trump marketing campaign for a remark however didn’t obtain a response.
The ballot, which was performed from Sept. 4 by Sept. 8, discovered 55% of feminine Virginia voters mentioned they’d vote for Harris, in comparison with 37% for Trump.
Harris carried out properly amongst Black Virginia voters, garnering 73 % of their help.
Moreover, possible White voters want Trump at 50% to 43% for Harris. White possible voters with a school diploma swing closely to Harris at 57% in comparison with 36% for Trump, whereas White voters with out faculty levels help Trump by 64% to 29%.
Harris polled greatest within the close-in Washington, D.C., suburbs, 60%, Northern Virginia exurbs, 56%, and within the Richmond space, 55%. Trump’s help is strongest within the extra rural central and western components of Virginia, 60%, whereas the Tidewater area, in Jap Virginia, suggestions towards Harris at 49% in comparison with 42% for Trump.
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The Washington Publish-Schar College ballot exhibits Vice President Kamala Harris main former President Donald Trump by 50% to 42% in Virginia. (Getty Pictures)
By way of favorability, 53% of Virginians have an unfavorable impression of the previous president whereas 39% are favorable. Harris is web well-liked with 49% favorable and 42% unfavorable.
The ballot was performed amongst a random pattern of 1,005 registered voters in Virginia with 65% reached by dwell callers on cellphones, 14% on landlines and 21% by way of cellphone textual content to-web.
The pool of respondents was made up of 31% who say they consider themselves as Democrats in comparison with 28% of Republicans. Independents accounted for 30% of contributors.
Michael Dorgan is a author for Fox Information Digital and Fox Enterprise.
You may ship tricks to [email protected] and comply with him on Twitter @M_Dorgan.
Harris leads in Virginia, a state Trump is aiming to flip: ballot
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