Liberty Bellwethers: 5 Pennsylvania counties to observe on election night time

Norman Ray

International Courant

Pennsylvania will doubtless as soon as once more be essentially the most watched state on election night time, because the Commonwealth’s 19 electoral votes are poised to affect the election a method or one other.

5 of the 67 counties — Bucks, Northampton, Erie, Heart and Luzerne — will doubtless inform the story of whether or not former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election.

BUCKS COUNTY – COUNTY SEAT: DOYLESTOWN

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Bucks County made nationwide headlines final week after the RNC and the Trump marketing campaign took authorized motion towards county officers after the foundations for “on-demand” voting had been shortened earlier than the posted cut-off time.

A choose finally gave Bucks voters concerned within the lawsuit till Friday to vote early. Bucks is often known as a big county the place voters sometimes cut up their votes.

A Pennsylvania welcome signal greets US-222 drivers coming into Peach Backside, Pennsylvania from Maryland, 2022. (Charlie Creitz)

Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick and his late brother, Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick, each Republicans, have had constant however slender victories within the county, whereas nationwide and gubernatorial outcomes are sometimes a blended bag. Brian was re-elected in 2020, simply as Biden gained the county.

The county additionally switched to a Republican voter registration benefit this cycle, with the Philadelphia Inquirer reporting that Republicans have a majority of just below 1,000 registered voters.

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Whereas Trump misplaced all of Philadelphia’s once-Republican counties — Delaware, Chester, Montgomery and Bucks — in 2016, solely the latter seems in play this cycle.

NORTHAMPTON COUNTY – COUNTY SEAT: EASTON

Lehigh and Northampton counties, bordering Bucks, unite geopolitically to kind the premier, post-industrial Lehigh Valley area. The seat in Congress at the moment held by Consultant Susan Wild, a Democrat, is all the time a detailed race.

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Whereas Lehigh sometimes stays in Democratic palms resulting from Pennsylvania’s third-largest metropolis – Allentown – as an anchor, neighboring Northampton County shocked everybody when Trump took over town in 2016.

SCOTT PRESLER CRASHES BY PA TO REGISTER VOTERS AND SEEKS TO CLIP KEY COUNTIES RED

The Moravian Star shines on South Mountain above the Ofc. Philip J. Fahy Memorial Bridge in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania. (Charles Creitz)

Northampton Republican Occasion Chief Andrew Azan III stated in a latest interview that he’s very optimistic once more this 12 months, saying there was lately a “ready record” for Trump yard indicators.

ERIE COUNTY – COUNTY SEAT: ERIE

Far to the west, Erie stands out like a thumbs up within the Nice Lakes, and the voters might put their thumb on the size for both candidate.

Erie GOP Chairman Tom Eddy lately stated that Erie is “distinctive… in the truth that it could possibly decide the winners.” Trump gained Erie County and the election in 2016, and Biden gained in 2020.

Eddy referred to as the county “Little Pennsylvania” – as a result of it has a bit of each a part of the state inside its borders: an city space, agricultural lands and business.

LUZERNE COUNTY – COUNTY SEAT: WILKES-BARRE

In the meantime, in Luzerne County, Republicans, backed by Wilkes-Barre and Hazleton, lately shocked observers in September by changing into a majority there.

The union-heavy county, bordering Biden’s Lackawanna, went for Trump in 2016 and 2020, regardless of his Democratic leanings on the time.

“All of us wish to thank Democrats and the Democratic platform as a result of they’re those who actually impressed folks to depart the occasion and grow to be Republicans,” stated TJ Fitzgerald, chairman of Luzerne County’s 119th District.

Scott Presler, chief of Early Vote Motion, which has been sweeping Pennsylvania to register Republican voters, beforehand stated this was a significant achievement forward of the anticipated election.

PENNSYLVANIA LEADERS ON BOTH SIDES TALK ‘TENSION’ GROUND GAME, AS GOP Seeks to UNROLLE DEM GAIN

A Harris-Walz supporter arrives in Wilkes-Barre in a police car with a marketing campaign emblem. (Charlie Creitz)

When Fox Information Digital lined a weekend of Presler’s work in crimson counties like Lancaster and Dauphin, he additionally recognized Bucks, Luzerne and Heart as these most ripe for Republicans.

CENTER COUNTY – PROVINCE SEAT: BELLEFONTE

Heart County is the uncommon blue dot in the course of the forested expanse of Northwestern Pennsylvania. A lot of the county displays the Republicanism of its neighbors Clinton, Huntingdon and Blair – however the presence of Penn State College in State School makes it Democratic.

Of the roughly 110,000 voters there, 41.2% are Democrats and 40.3% are Republicans. Earlier than the Nittany Lions’ blowout of Kent State in September, nonetheless, Presler and volunteers registered tailgaters to vote and encountered college students who had been fervently pro-Trump.

State Sen. Cris Dush, a Republican who represents Heart and 6 different neighboring counties, stated the prospect of flipping the blue enclave “is definitely going to be very thrilling.”

Dush stated considered one of them — rural Clinton County — was solidly Democratic till the Trump period and had lately gone “greater than 3-1 Republican.”

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PSU (Gregory Fisher by way of Getty Photos)

Heart could have a shot on the crimson column this 12 months, partly as a result of Technology Z immediately faces a tricky financial system for younger employees.

As Pennsylvania’s business faces regulatory hurdles and extra, Dush famous, essentially the most regrettable outsourcing occurred amongst these younger voters.

“The truth that they’re placing such restrictions on enterprise improvement in northern and western Pennsylvania, there’s not a state in the US that does not have a Steelers bar, and that is as a result of working-class children do. grow to be our greatest export, I would like them again,” he stated.

Charles Creitz is a reporter for Fox Information Digital.

He joined Fox Information in 2013 as a author and manufacturing assistant.

Charles covers media, politics and tradition for Fox Information Digital.

Charles is initially from Pennsylvania and graduated from Temple College with a BA in Broadcast Journalism. Story suggestions may be despatched to [email protected].

Liberty Bellwethers: 5 Pennsylvania counties to observe on election night time

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