Tales from the path: The blue states Trump eyes to show crimson in November

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Former President Donald Trump is headed again to the Jersey Shore.

“Now we have an amazing rally and hope you are all going to be there. It is in Wildwood, New Jersey. It’ll be a giant crowd,” the previous president touted on the eve of his Saturday rally.

Wildwood, on the southern tip of the Jersey Shore, is a part of the Backyard State’s Cape Could County, a closely Republican county in a longtime blue state.

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Trump held a rally in Wildwood in January 2020. However the then-president ended up shedding New Jersey by 16 factors to President Biden 4 years in the past.

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President Donald Trump attends a rally on the Wildwood Conference Middle in Wildwood, New Jersey, on Jan. 28, 2020. (Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Company by way of Getty Pictures)

For Trump, the weekend rally is a brief distance from New York Metropolis, the place he is spending his weekdays in courtroom, making historical past as the primary former or present president to face trial in a felony case.

“We’re going to attempt to win the state of New Jersey. I would like the individuals to know that I like it,” Trump predicted Friday in a native radio interview within the Backyard State. “You realize, it’s not simply going to be like, gee, possibly we will get shut. We’re going to win it.”

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However Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill of New Jersey, a Biden surrogate, advised reporters a couple of hours later that “Jersey just isn’t going to be a welcoming place for Trump.”

And Biden marketing campaign communications director Michael Tyler famous that “Trump’s workforce is speaking about New Jersey. They’re speaking about holding concert events in Madison Sq. Backyard to end up voters in states like New York. I believe right here on planet earth within the Biden marketing campaign, we’ll stay laser centered on successful 270 electoral votes.”

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Whereas flipping the Backyard State will not be on the prime of the Trump marketing campaign’s to-do record, it’s spotlighting his probabilities in two different blue states Biden received comfortably in 2020 — Minnesota and Virginia.

Because the Trump and Biden campaigns put together for battle in seven essential swing states that determined the 2020 election (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which had been narrowly received by Biden, and North Carolina, which Trump carried by a razor-thin margin) and can doubtless as soon as once more within the 2024 rematch, each campaigns see alternatives to increase the map.

Final weekend at a closed-door Nationwide Republican Committee retreat for top-dollar donors that was held at a resort in Palm Seaside, Florida, senior Trump marketing campaign advisers Susie Wiles and Chris LaCivita and veteran pollster Tony Fabrizio spotlighted inside surveys that instructed each “Minnesota & Virginia are clearly in play.”

Former President Donald Trump headlines a Republican Nationwide Committee spring donor retreat in Palm Seaside, Florida, on Could 4.  (Donald Trump 2024 marketing campaign)

“In each states, Donald Trump finds himself in positions to flip key electoral votes in his favor,” the survey, which was shared with Fox Information, emphasizes. 

Trump is ready to return to Minnesota subsequent weekend to headline a state GOP fundraising dinner.

And each states have sizable populations of rural white voters with out school levels who disproportionately assist the previous president.

Biden’s marketing campaign disagrees that both Minnesota or Virginia are up for grabs.

Whereas noting that they’re “not taking any state or any vote without any consideration,” Biden marketing campaign battleground states director Dan Kanninen advised reporters earlier this week that “we do not see polls which can be six or seven months out from a common election, head-to-head numbers actually, as any extra predictive than a climate report is six or seven months out.”

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Kanninen highlighted that the marketing campaign has groups on the bottom in each states partaking voters.

“We really feel strongly the Biden-Harris coalition in each Minnesota and Virginia, which has been robust within the midterms and off-year elections, will proceed to be robust for us within the fall of 2024,” he added.

And Biden marketing campaign spokesperson Lauren Hitt, pointing to the president’s present fundraising dominance and ground-game benefit in the important thing battlegrounds, argued that “Trump’s workforce has so little marketing campaign or infrastructure to talk of they’re resorting to leaking memos that say ‘the polls we paid for present us successful.'” 

That is the second straight election the place Trump goals to flip Minnesota.

At a late September 2020 rally in northern Minnesota, Trump boasted of the group measurement and insisted “this isn’t the group of any person that’s going to complete second on this state to Sleepy Joe,” a derogatory time period he used for Biden.

President Biden appears on throughout his go to to the Chavis Neighborhood Middle in Raleigh, North Carolina, on March 26. (Reuters/Elizabeth Frantz)

Whereas Trump’s marketing campaign appears for alternatives to increase the map in Minnesota and Virginia, Biden’s marketing campaign seems to be eyeing battlegrounds North Carolina and Florida. 

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Trump carried the Sunshine State by lower than 4 factors in 2020, however two years in the past Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis and GOP Sen. Marco Rubio every received re-election by practically 20 factors.

LaCivita argued the Biden marketing campaign was enjoying “a pretend sport” in each states, however insisted that Trump has a “actual alternative in increasing the map in Virginia and Minnesota.”

Get the most recent updates from the 2024 marketing campaign path, unique interviews and extra at our Fox Information Digital election hub.

Paul Steinhauser is a politics reporter primarily based in New Hampshire. 

Tales from the path: The blue states Trump eyes to show crimson in November

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