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With two weeks to go till Election Day on November 5, a brand new ballot within the swing state of Nevada factors to a race for the margin of error between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump.
Trump defeated Harris 49%-47% in a head-to-head battle for the state’s coveted six electoral votes, in line with AARP’s analysis. The Republican presidential nominee has an excellent narrower one-point margin of 47%-46% over the Democratic Occasion standard-bearer in an all-party vote with third-party candidates. The survey is the most recent from possible voters to level to a coin-tossing race in Nevada.
As he works to win again the White Home, Trump goals to change into the primary Republican presidential candidate to hold Nevada since then-President George W. Bush gained re-election in 2004. Trump narrowly misplaced the Silver State, each in his 2016 White Home victory and in his 2020 reelection loss to President Biden.
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Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump smiles throughout a Spanish-language roundtable at Magnificence Society on October 12, 2024 in North Las Vegas, Nevada. (Ethan Miller/Getty Pictures)
The AARP survey, performed Oct. 8-15 and launched Tuesday, exhibits the previous president with a slim lead amongst impartial voters. It additionally factors to a big gender hole: Trump is eighteen factors forward amongst males, whereas Harris is 15 factors forward amongst ladies.
Current polls in Nevada and throughout the nation point out an erosion of help for Democrats amongst Latino voters, and Trump enjoys a slim single-digit lead over Harris amongst these voters, in line with the AARP ballot.
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It’s placing that the analysis doesn’t level to a big schooling hole.
“There may be solely a small distinction in academic attainment, with Harris rating six factors greater amongst voters with a university diploma, and Trump 5 factors greater amongst these with out a diploma,” the survey launch factors out.
Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris walks to help Latino voter Ivett Castillo, who lately misplaced her mom, throughout a Univision City Corridor in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Thursday, October 10, 2024. (Melina Mara/The Washington Publish by way of Getty Pictures) (Melina Mara/The Washington Publish by way of Getty Pictures)
The ballot exhibits Trump with a seven-point lead amongst voters 50+, and a four-point lead amongst voters 65 and older.
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“With the presidential and Senate races so shut, attracting older voters with excessive turnout needs to be a key precedence for all campaigns,” emphasised Maria Moore, state director of AARP Nevada. “If candidates need to win in Nevada, they need to give attention to the problems that matter to older voters, from defending Social Safety to supporting household caregivers and decreasing the price of requirements like meals and housing.”
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump lately break up (Getty Pictures)
Nevada is considered one of seven swing states whose razor-thin margins decided Biden’s 2020 election victory over Trump and can possible decide whether or not Harris or Trump wins the 2024 White Home race.
The Silver State is not only a presidential battleground; it is usually residence to a vital Senate race, which is likely one of the few that can resolve whether or not the Republican Occasion regains the Home’s majority.
The ballot exhibits Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen with a five-point lead of 49%-44% over Republican challenger Sam Brown.
The AARP Ballot was performed by the bipartisan polling group of Fabrizio Ward (Republican) and Influence Analysis (Democrat). The businesses interviewed 1,368 possible voters in Nevada. The survey’s total sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 share factors.
Get the most recent updates from the 2024 marketing campaign path, unique interviews and extra on our Fox Information Digital election hub.
Trump with slight lead over Harris on this essential Western battleground: ballot
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