With the 2024 election so shut, it is a reminder of how few votes decided the seven swing states in 2020

World Courant

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are neck-and-neck heading into Election Day in nationwide and state polls.

As of November 1, Harris and Trump have been separated by simply 1.2% nationwide ballot averages compiled by 538.

On the state degree, neither candidate has a lead of greater than 2 proportion factors over any of the swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

These seven battleground states will decide who wins the 270 electoral votes wanted to win the White Home.

How shut the swing state margins have been in 2020

President Joe Biden narrowly received six of seven states in 2020, some by simply 11,000 or 12,000 votes.

Biden defeated Trump by toppling the “blue wall” states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, which Trump received in 2016.

Biden additionally received Georgia and Arizona, two states which have lengthy been Republican strongholds.

Profitable margins within the seven swing states in 2020

ABC Information

Trump received North Carolina by 74,481 votes, which was smaller than his margin of victory there over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

A complete of 386,769 votes in these seven states decided the end result of the 2020 election, out of 158 million votes forged nationwide.

Profitable margins within the seven swing states in 2020

ABC Information

Indicators level to a different thrilling race

Harris and Trump have by no means been greater than 3 proportion factors aside within the nationwide polling averages compiled by 538 since Harris took over from President Biden because the Democratic front-runner in late July.

Based on 538, the 2 are in a lifeless warmth in Nevada and Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvania is taken into account a attainable tipping level for who will win the Electoral School. If Harris wins the state, together with the remainder of the Midwest’s “blue wall” and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, she’s going to obtain 270 votes. If Trump wins Pennsylvania and holds all of the states he received in 2020, he would additionally must flip Georgia to win.

In Michigan and Wisconsin, Harris has a one-point lead over the previous president. Polls present Trump with a one proportion level lead in North Carolina and two proportion factors in Georgia and Arizona.

Nevertheless, these ranges are inside the margin of error of a typical ballot.

With the 2024 election so shut, it is a reminder of how few votes decided the seven swing states in 2020

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